Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -250 UGA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -14.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -8.8 (+1.2) | 137.4 (+14.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -10.6 (-0.6) | 134.0 (+18.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2024 | UGA 72 – 66 WAKE |
| Nov 11, 2023 | UGA 80 – 77 WAKE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#167) | -0.9 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#149) | 0.37 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#136) | 0.50 (#130) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 29.1% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 63.0% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 40.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 81.6% | 81.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.