Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -195 NE +162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -14.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -8.1 (-3.1) | 134.3 (+18.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -7.2 (-2.2) | 137.3 (+15.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2024 | NE 82 – 68 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#216) | -2.1 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#78) | 0.38 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#119) | 0.51 (#108) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 18.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 80.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 5.3% |
Game Analysis
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