Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NE -120 LAS +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | NE -4.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -5.0 (+9.0) | 141.9 (+8.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -4.1 (+9.9) | 141.9 (+8.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -4.1 (+9.9) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -2.0 (+12.0) | 141.3 (+8.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | LAS 79 – 74 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#124) | 2.8 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#172) | 0.54 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#187) | 0.17 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#196) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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