Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ILL -8000 OAK +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +11 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -16.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -16.0 (-5.0) | 140.7 (-23.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -11.4 (-0.4) | 140.6 (-23.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2024 | ILL 66 – 54 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILL | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#71) | 3.1 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#72) | -0.38 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#76) | -0.48 (#185) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILL | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 50.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 31.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 59.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.6% | 46.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.