And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Moody Center · November 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -32.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money TEX -100000 / DSU +3300
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +27 145 Won
Massey TEX -27.1 (-0.1)
Massey Totals 138.0 (+7.0)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline ML TEX -23.8 (+3.2) 139.4 (+5.6) 90%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -19.1 (+7.9) 142.4 (+2.6) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 30, 2024 TEX 9068 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX DSU
Overall 21-13 15-19
Conference 9-9 6-8
Home 14-4 7-5
Away 4-6 4-11
Neutral 3-3 4-3
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 75.4 68.4
Avg Pts Against 68.9 71.4
Massey 5.6 (#50) -6.3 (#258)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#113) -0.38 (#193)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.60 (#72) -0.61 (#235)
RPI
Shooting & Four Factors TEX DSU
FG% 50.8% 28.8%
3PT% 38.5% 6.2%
REB / G 45.0 39.0
OREB / G 11.0 17.0
AST / TO 1.54 0.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.7% 29.5%
TOV% 17.1% 30.5%
ORB% 30.6% 35.4%
FT Rate 22.2% 9.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 32.8% 60.0%
Opp TOV% 22.1% 27.6%
DRB% 69.4% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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