Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Moody Center · November 30, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -34.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +22 158 Won
Massey TEX -29.7 (-7.7)
Massey Totals 143.3 (+14.7)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -30.0 (-8.0) 141.9 (+16.1) 91%
Baseline ML TEX -29.0 (-7.0) 141.7 (+16.3) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -24.1 (-2.1) 142.5 (+15.5) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -26.3 (-4.3) 141.7 (+16.3) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 11, 2023 TEX 8659 DSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX DSU
Overall 19-16 16-14
Conference 6-12 8-6
Home 11-7 11-2
Away 4-6 3-11
Neutral 4-3 2-1
Last 5 5-0 0-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.5 75.4
Avg Pts Against 72.6 78.6
Massey 10.8 (#45) -13.2 (#349)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#91) -1.96 (#311)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.22 (#109) -2.94 (#316)
RPI 0.535 (#111) 0.408 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX DSU
FG% 50.4% 39.2%
3PT% 37.2% 18.4%
REB / G 37.3 32.0
OREB / G 9.3 11.8
AST / TO 1.65 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.4% 40.7%
TOV% 13.1% 17.5%
ORB% 30.1% 29.7%
FT Rate 27.6% 18.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.1% 55.1%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 20.2%
DRB% 73.7% 57.9%
Opp FT Rate 18.1% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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