Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -7000 LAF +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +18 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -22.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -16.8 (+1.2) | 137.1 (-19.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -20.9 (-2.9) | 135.3 (-17.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#75) | -3.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#141) | -0.31 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#123) | -0.47 (#180) |
| RPI | — | 0.750 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.57 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 10.7% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.7% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 33.1% | 12.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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