Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Under |
| Money | FOR -135 COR +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -4.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -2.6 (-7.6) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -5.4 (-10.4) | 142.0 (+9.0) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 22-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#228) | 7.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#68) | 1.94 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#132) | 2.67 (#11) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 13.1% | 36.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 58.5% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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