Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | ASU -1000 TXSO +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -18.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -6.0 (+5.0) | 137.9 (-22.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -6.8 (+4.2) | 136.7 (-21.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2022 | TXSO 67 – 66 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#248) | -8.0 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#280) | -0.50 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#280) | -0.84 (#262) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 32.1% | 29.4% |
| 3PT% | 23.8% | 20.8% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 36.8% | 33.1% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 11.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 32.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.