Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO +550 ASU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -9.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -1.1 (-0.1) | 145.8 (-12.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -2.5 (-1.5) | 144.9 (-11.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.1 (-1.1) | 144.5 (-11.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.9 (-1.9) | 148.3 (-15.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | ASU 63 – 52 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#233) | -0.2 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#264) | 0.55 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#265) | 0.63 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#99) | 0.417 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 47.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 15.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.38 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 39.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 33.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.8% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.