Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | WIS +130 TENN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -12.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -5.9 (-15.9) | 149.4 (+0.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -9.1 (-19.1) | 145.5 (+4.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#63) | 7.6 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#121) | 0.38 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#75) | 0.61 (#66) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 65.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 2.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 70.0% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 35.0% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 29.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 82.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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