Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | BYU -145 SDSU +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -22.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -12.9 (-3.9) | 150.9 (-11.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -15.4 (-6.4) | 145.0 (-6.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | SDSU 82 – 75 BYU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | BYU 66 – 60 SDSU |
| Dec 18, 2020 | BYU 72 – 62 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#13) | 3.6 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#56) | 0.38 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#57) | 0.59 (#78) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 59.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 21.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 3.00 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 11.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 46.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 36.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 97.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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