Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | SDSU -280 BYU +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SDSU -10.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -9.4 (-19.4) | 131.5 (+2.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -10.7 (-20.7) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -10.8 (-20.8) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -9.9 (-19.9) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | BYU 74 – 65 SDSU |
| Nov 12, 2022 | SDSU 82 – 75 BYU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | BYU 66 – 60 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#49) | 3.6 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#7) | 1.01 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.94 (#8) | 1.78 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.665 (#26) | 0.534 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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