Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BYU -150 SDSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -10.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -7.4 (-1.4) | 135.0 (-9.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.4 (-1.4) | 132.8 (-6.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | BYU 74 – 65 SDSU |
| Nov 12, 2022 | SDSU 82 – 75 BYU |
| Dec 18, 2020 | BYU 72 – 62 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 13-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 58.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#176) | 1.9 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#46) | 1.15 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#98) | 1.63 (#27) |
| RPI | — | 1.000 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 18.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 46.8% | 36.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.3% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.5% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 90.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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