Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SDSU -500 BYU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -20.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -12.3 (-5.3) | 137.0 (+20.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -15.6 (-8.6) | 134.7 (+22.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2023 | BYU 74 – 65 SDSU |
| Nov 13, 2021 | BYU 66 – 60 SDSU |
| Dec 18, 2020 | BYU 72 – 62 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#92) | -3.3 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#101) | 0.43 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#83) | 0.50 (#131) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.8% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 44.4% | 18.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.5% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 29.5% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 29.1% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 90.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.