Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
46–14 on winners spread MAE 11.9 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee +27.6 127.7 90% 49–103 ✓
Iona @ Rider +2.5 143.2 64% 70–56 ✗
Davidson @ Rhode Island +5.7 139.7 74% 67–58 ✗
Northwestern State @ Tulsa +12.4 148.7 83% 55–82 ✓
Western Carolina @ Charleston -0.3 154.1 45% 76–70 ✓
Belmont @ Tennessee State -2.3 144.3 38% 88–63 ✓
Chicago State @ Northern Illinois +9.2 136.8 81% 54–64 ✓
Florida A&M @ Georgia Tech +11.5 151.8 84% 64–74 ✓
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +1.7 155.0 54% 69–67 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia +16.9 144.4 89% 65–70 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Utah State +4.2 142.5 74% 50–63 ✓
Idaho @ Utah +8.6 140.2 83% 41–79 ✓
Montana State @ Washington State +1.1 137.7 61% 54–82 ✓
Air Force @ Nevada +8.9 132.2 79% 57–74 ✓
Weber State @ Portland State -3.5 138.1 50% 94–66 ✓
Butler @ Indiana +11.1 138.4 84% 60–68 ✓
Iowa @ Gonzaga +0.4 174.6 59% 88–99 ✓
Louisville @ Wisconsin +4.4 133.6 66% 48–85 ✓
Troy @ Auburn +8.9 133.7 81% 41–77 ✓
The Citadel @ Longwood +4.4 141.2 68% 91–89 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Elon +7.5 133.7 71% 71–64 ✗
James Madison @ East Carolina +12.6 140.7 84% 64–73 ✓
Ball State @ Indiana State +3.1 142.9 66% 57–67 ✓
North Carolina @ Kentucky -6.7 133.7 29% 75–63 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Alabama +8.9 150.4 75% 73–71 ✗
Marist @ Manhattan -1.5 140.1 42% 61–39 ✓
Hofstra @ St. Bonaventure +7.8 148.5 77% 69–77 ✓
Drexel @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.9 142.0 38% 85–68 ✓
Grambling @ Tulane +4.6 129.1 69% 65–77 ✓
High Point @ William & Mary +10.4 156.4 82% 71–49 ✗
Milwaukee @ Green Bay -8.9 151.7 21% 68–65 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky -2.2 146.8 47% 64–79 ✗
Wright State @ Detroit Mercy -2.2 136.0 38% 93–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Toledo +10.5 143.9 83% 57–71 ✓
Stony Brook @ Binghamton +3.1 139.1 61% 73–59 ✗
Maine @ Hartford — — — 60–63 —
Lamar @ Louisiana Tech +12.3 135.1 86% 57–86 ✓
Texas State @ Denver -3.1 131.3 34% 70–68 ✓
Notre Dame @ Purdue +7.4 142.6 77% 78–88 ✓
Ole Miss @ Dayton -2.7 127.3 35% 62–65 ✗
Portland @ Oregon +20.0 153.0 89% 41–80 ✓
Rice @ Sam Houston -3.3 144.5 32% 69–82 ✗
South Alabama @ Alabama A&M +11.3 153.0 87% 90–93 ✓
UL Monroe @ Southern Miss +3.6 131.0 57% 47–60 ✓
Chattanooga @ UAB +11.9 140.1 77% 69–66 ✗
Jacksonville @ Miami +8.1 135.8 77% 64–73 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -15.9 152.1 15% 100–69 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Charlotte +14.2 134.5 87% 72–76 ✓
Furman @ Winthrop +7.3 156.6 74% 71–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Niagara +8.9 126.4 84% 61–81 ✓
Campbell @ NC State +19.7 148.9 90% 50–69 ✓
UMBC @ UAlbany — — — 65–64 —
NJIT @ Temple — — — 60–72 —
Delaware @ La Salle +4.8 126.3 70% 61–71 ✓
Samford @ Kennesaw State -3.0 142.1 30% 65–63 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State -1.2 144.1 45% 70–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ California +2.1 137.8 56% 56–87 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Monmouth -1.6 148.3 43% 78–76 ✓
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma +27.1 158.4 91% 65–84 ✓
Coppin State @ Virginia Tech +18.2 137.7 89% 57–97 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Pepperdine +4.1 154.4 61% 75–63 ✗
Buffalo @ Syracuse +13.5 147.1 85% 96–107 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -12.9 140.3 15% 80–64 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.