Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +13 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.3 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -3.3 (+16.3) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -5.0 (+18.0) | 147.6 (+3.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -5.5 (+18.5) | 146.3 (+4.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.3 (+16.3) | 144.5 (+6.5) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#270) | 2.6 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#230) | 0.43 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#210) | 0.44 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#122) | 0.368 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.7% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 58.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.0% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.