Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | SYR -650 BUF +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +11 | 203 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -14.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+57.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -14.2 (-3.2) | 145.2 (+57.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -10.3 (+0.7) | 147.9 (+55.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -13.5 (-2.5) | 151.1 (+51.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -13.5 (-2.5) | 147.1 (+55.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-10 | 16-9 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 12-5 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#12) | 5.9 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#29) | 0.36 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.93 (#25) | 0.43 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#32) | 0.526 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 43.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.