Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -20.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | NCSU -7000 CAM +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +19 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -23.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -18.2 (+0.8) | 149.8 (-30.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCSU -15.9 (+3.1) | 144.7 (-25.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -20.9 (-1.9) | 145.6 (-26.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -19.7 (-0.7) | 148.9 (-29.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | NCSU 73 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 17-10 |
| Conference | 9-8 | 11-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#8) | -2.4 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#92) | 1.55 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#76) | 1.93 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#145) | 0.643 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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