Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Lloyd Noble Center · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread OU -34.0 Away covered
O/U 165.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +19 149 Won
Massey OU -27.1 (-8.1) — —
Massey Totals — 166.5 (-17.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OU -21.5 (-2.5) 154.4 (-5.4) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OU -23.0 (-4.0) 155.9 (-6.9) 91% ✓
Baseline ML OU -27.1 (-8.1) 158.4 (-9.4) 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OU -27.2 (-8.2) 155.1 (-6.1) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 25, 2021 OU 57 – 40 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU HCU
Overall 16-11 6-19
Conference 9-8 4-11
Home 10-3 4-6
Away 4-7 1-12
Neutral 2-1 1-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.5 70.1
Avg Pts Against 69.9 81.1
Massey 9.7 (#45) -12.6 (#307)
Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#18) -2.39 (#305)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.35 (#44) -3.61 (#301)
RPI 0.571 (#78) 0.404 (#266)
Shooting & Four Factors OU HCU
FG% 47.6% 40.1%
3PT% 38.8% 37.4%
REB / G 38.4 33.0
OREB / G 10.8 8.5
AST / TO 1.57 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.1% 47.4%
TOV% 14.7% 24.3%
ORB% 30.9% 23.1%
FT Rate 27.3% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 56.7%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 14.8%
DRB% 69.7% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 16.0% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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