Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +17 | 97 | Won |
| Massey | OU -30.6 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-38.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -26.4 (-9.4) | 132.5 (-35.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -24.3 (-7.3) | 139.4 (-42.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -30.1 (-13.1) | 140.6 (-43.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -29.5 (-12.5) | 136.0 (-39.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2020 | OU 84 – 65 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#36) | -13.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#82) | -1.41 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#60) | -2.58 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#87) | 0.399 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 34.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 26.6% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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