Betting Lines
| Spread | SAM -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | KENN +285 SAM -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAM +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | SAM -5.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAM -4.1 (+2.1) | 140.8 (-12.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAM -3.5 (+1.5) | 142.0 (-14.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAM -3.0 (+1.0) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAM -2.5 (+0.5) | 144.0 (-16.0) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | SAM 85 – 84 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 6-13 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 2-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 4-5 |
| Away | 0-9 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#261) | 4.0 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#239) | 0.88 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#236) | 1.80 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#152) | 0.586 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 33.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 21.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.49 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.1% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 13.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 38.4% |
Game Analysis
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