Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | URI -140 DAV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +9 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -8.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -6.9 (-15.9) | 140.0 (-15.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.1 (-13.1) | 133.6 (-8.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.8 (-14.8) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.7 (-14.7) | 139.7 (-14.7) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | URI 70 – 45 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | URI 92 – 90 DAV |
| Jan 10, 2024 | URI 79 – 74 DAV |
| Mar 5, 2023 | DAV 68 – 54 URI |
| Feb 12, 2022 | URI 72 – 65 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 7-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#72) | 2.8 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#114) | -0.73 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#86) | -1.06 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#118) | 0.441 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 36.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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