Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | UTAH -7000 IDHO +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +38 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -8.9 (+29.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.8 (+29.2) | 140.8 (-20.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -8.1 (+29.9) | 133.2 (-13.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -10.4 (+27.6) | 138.5 (-18.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.6 (+29.4) | 140.2 (-20.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-13 | 1-21 |
| Conference | 8-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 1-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#169) | -5.2 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#139) | -1.69 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#120) | -2.39 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#209) | 0.318 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 26.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.94 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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