Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Cassell Coliseum · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread VT -27.0 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total VT win
Actual VT +40 154 Won
Massey VT -21.6 (+18.4) — —
Massey Totals — 137.4 (+16.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ VT -17.4 (+22.6) 142.0 (+12.0) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML VT -16.7 (+23.3) 138.6 (+15.4) 90% ✓
Baseline ML VT -18.2 (+21.8) 137.7 (+16.3) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML VT -19.6 (+20.4) 139.9 (+14.1) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 7, 2023 VT 100 – 55 COPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings VT COPP
Neutral 2-2 0-1
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Massey 6.9 (#69) -9.9 (#291)
Bradley-Terry 2.78 (#17) -1.74 (#270)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.87 (#27) -2.46 (#267)
RPI 0.678 (#22) 0.389 (#277)
Shooting & Four Factors VT COPP
FG% 43.7% 34.6%
3PT% 32.3% 26.0%
REB / G 36.3 32.7
OREB / G 10.2 7.0
AST / TO 0.93 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.0% 41.1%
TOV% 18.9% 17.2%
ORB% 31.1% 15.4%
FT Rate 28.9% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 24.9%
DRB% 77.7% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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