Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | NKU -135 YSU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -3.9 (+18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.9 (+15.9) | 145.1 (-2.1) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -1.9 (+16.9) | 144.6 (-1.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.2 (+17.2) | 146.8 (-3.8) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | YSU 64 – 58 NKU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | NKU 94 – 79 YSU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NKU 88 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | YSU 72 – 61 NKU |
| Jan 28, 2024 | YSU 82 – 52 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#180) | 7.0 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#150) | 0.97 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#154) | 1.42 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#126) | 0.375 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 28.9% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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