Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | RID +100 IONA -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -5.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.9 (-16.9) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -2.1 (-16.1) | 137.7 (-11.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -2.9 (-16.9) | 142.8 (-16.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.5 (-16.5) | 143.2 (-17.2) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | IONA 80 – 58 RID |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RID 72 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RID 74 – 71 IONA |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IONA 73 – 67 RID |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RID 78 – 75 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-17 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-3 |
| Home | 1-8 | 4-2 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#179) | -2.4 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#199) | -0.63 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#186) | -0.78 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#140) | 0.405 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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