Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -200 WKU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -11.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -8.3 (-10.3) | 150.4 (-6.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -7.3 (-9.3) | 148.7 (-4.7) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -8.0 (-10.0) | 150.6 (-6.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -8.9 (-10.9) | 150.4 (-6.4) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 7-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#57) | 1.5 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#67) | 1.94 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#77) | 3.23 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#57) | 0.572 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.