Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | NAU +500 EWU -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -17.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -10.0 (-6.0) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -11.8 (-4.2) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -12.5 (-3.5) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -12.9 (-3.1) | 140.3 (+3.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | EWU 88 – 57 NAU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | NAU 92 – 86 EWU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | NAU 66 – 53 EWU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NAU 87 – 67 EWU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NAU 70 – 61 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-16 | 16-8 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 12-3 |
| Home | 1-7 | 7-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -19.4 (#322) | 3.0 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#277) | -0.88 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#284) | -0.93 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#201) | 0.532 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 21.9% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 26.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.59 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 15.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 68.8% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 13.1% |
Game Analysis
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