You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
Food City Center · December 19, 2020
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -30.5 Home covered
O/U 128.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +54 152 Won
Massey TENN -28.0 (+26.0) — —
Massey Totals — 116.7 (+35.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TENN -22.6 (+31.4) 129.9 (+22.1) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -24.3 (+29.7) 129.0 (+23.0) 90% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -27.6 (+26.4) 127.7 (+24.3) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TENN -31.0 (+23.0) 131.3 (+20.7) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 6, 2023 TENN 80 – 42 TNTC
Nov 8, 2022 TENN 75 – 43 TNTC
Nov 26, 2021 TENN 80 – 69 TNTC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN TNTC
Overall 18-9 5-22
Conference 10-7 5-15
Home 13-3 5-6
Away 4-4 0-16
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 3-0 0-5
Streak L2 W2
Avg Pts For 71.9 66.6
Avg Pts Against 63.5 76.9
Massey 15.6 (#11) -7.6 (#273)
Bradley-Terry 2.36 (#31) -2.05 (#283)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.57 (#35) -2.81 (#278)
RPI 0.765 (#2) 0.451 (#204)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN TNTC
FG% 39.7% 40.6%
3PT% 30.6% 25.5%
REB / G 41.0 35.7
OREB / G 14.3 9.4
AST / TO 1.00 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.9% 45.5%
TOV% 17.0% 25.4%
ORB% 37.4% 26.5%
FT Rate 24.0% 15.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 39.3% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 29.6% 16.6%
DRB% 74.1% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 15.3% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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