Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -22.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -18.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -19.1 (-8.1) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -17.3 (-6.3) | 146.9 (+2.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -18.4 (-7.4) | 146.2 (+2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -18.1 (-7.1) | 144.7 (+4.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 6, 2023 | TENN 80 – 42 TNTC |
| Nov 8, 2022 | TENN 75 – 43 TNTC |
| Dec 19, 2020 | TENN 103 – 49 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-10 |
| Home | 16-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#23) | 0.9 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#78) | -0.42 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#61) | -0.26 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#38) | 0.519 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 15.5 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 40.1% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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