Betting Lines
| Spread | NIU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
| Money | NIU -2800 CHST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +10 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -11.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -8.0 (+2.0) | 132.0 (-14.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -7.3 (+2.7) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -9.2 (+0.8) | 136.8 (-18.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -7.6 (+2.4) | 135.0 (-17.0) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2021 | NIU 70 – 59 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-16 | 0-9 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 0-0 |
| Home | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Away | 1-9 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.3 | 55.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 88.7 |
| Massey | -17.4 (#319) | -24.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#323) | -3.35 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.44 (#321) | -5.29 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#272) | 0.301 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 23.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 60.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 64.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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