And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–16 on winners spread MAE 8.5 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ Cincinnati +13.0 121.4 88% 56–54 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +13.8 149.5 90% 72–77 ✓
Florida International @ Old Dominion +5.7 130.2 70% 63–83 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee +4.0 147.6 64% 52–69 ✓
Louisville @ Wake Forest +10.5 142.6 83% 77–99 ✓
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky +4.4 138.0 65% 61–75 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +11.9 151.4 86% 61–71 ✓
VMI @ Western Carolina -6.3 159.3 28% 73–82 ✗
Mercer @ Wofford +8.5 134.7 78% 67–74 ✓
Kent State @ Central Michigan -10.0 134.4 18% 73–71 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +6.7 137.2 73% 77–90 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado -12.5 148.4 13% 63–79 ✗
Kansas @ Baylor +3.5 152.4 62% 70–80 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside +0.4 128.5 51% 97–90 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis +10.1 135.4 82% 49–68 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +12.1 165.7 86% 94–98 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian -5.6 141.8 30% 75–70 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grand Canyon +7.0 125.4 74% 41–67 ✓
Lamar @ Tarleton State +14.1 127.7 90% 49–57 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +19.8 148.2 96% 59–75 ✓
Milwaukee @ UIC +6.3 142.7 72% 58–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +10.3 135.9 82% 55–79 ✓
South Dakota @ Oral Roberts +7.3 155.3 75% 92–87 ✗
South Dakota State @ Kansas City -7.8 153.3 24% 86–75 ✓
Omaha @ St. Thomas +8.2 155.9 77% 74–95 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming +10.3 146.8 83% 61–74 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +4.5 135.9 66% 51–72 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +7.6 118.8 76% 66–81 ✓
Stanford @ California +0.8 127.8 53% 39–53 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +5.4 146.1 69% 75–88 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +17.7 128.9 95% 55–75 ✓
UAB @ UTEP -7.8 139.4 24% 69–66 ✓
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -6.7 144.6 27% 73–65 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -7.7 142.1 24% 57–67 ✗
USC @ Oregon +0.2 141.3 51% 70–69 ✗
Arizona State @ Utah +2.8 135.8 60% 63–61 ✗
Idaho State @ Portland State +9.0 135.2 79% 69–73 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State -5.8 140.9 30% 75–81 ✗
Boise State @ UNLV -1.8 129.1 44% 86–76 ✓
Colorado State @ Utah State +2.0 146.3 57% 66–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +6.7 134.8 73% 72–77 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +8.3 129.2 78% 50–62 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -13.3 149.2 11% 86–77 ✓
Princeton @ Harvard -3.4 145.8 38% 74–73 ✓
SMU @ Houston +13.1 138.3 88% 61–75 ✓
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +4.1 147.3 65% 72–67 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan -1.3 141.5 45% 93–85 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -0.4 140.9 49% 66–62 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +4.8 125.7 67% 36–63 ✓
Monmouth @ Siena -3.8 133.0 36% 59–70 ✗
Iona @ Rider -9.7 142.3 19% 67–61 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +6.6 141.4 73% 57–81 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +10.8 138.8 84% 62–69 ✓
Tulane @ Temple +0.9 139.4 53% 70–75 ✓
Ohio State @ Maryland -4.6 143.9 34% 60–75 ✗
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.9 128.7 60% 73–69 ✗
St. John's @ DePaul -1.0 155.1 46% 94–99 ✗
Montana State @ Montana -3.0 135.6 39% 74–80 ✗
Indiana @ Minnesota -3.0 131.7 39% 84–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.