Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–20 on winners spread MAE 9.3 58 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oregon State @ UCLA +12.7 142.3 88% 52–57 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly -2.3 144.8 42% 64–51 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +7.5 123.1 75% 55–65 ✓
Bryant @ Fairleigh Dickinson -12.0 168.3 14% 79–81 ✗
Saint Joseph's @ Duquesne +9.3 148.8 80% 50–67 ✓
Oakland @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.2 162.8 58% 82–75 ✗
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +7.5 137.2 75% 65–73 ✓
Stetson @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.0 133.0 54% 77–66 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +6.1 148.3 71% 59–76 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Davis -13.7 144.4 11% 89–86 ✓
Minnesota @ Purdue +3.1 142.1 61% 62–81 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +7.7 149.5 76% 59–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Pepperdine -20.8 167.6 3% 97–75 ✓
Creighton @ DePaul -11.6 151.2 15% 69–62 ✓
Stanford @ Arizona State -4.4 149.2 34% 75–79 ✗
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +10.8 117.9 84% 54–68 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City -0.7 120.5 48% 47–49 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota +15.5 143.3 92% 93–97 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +8.2 144.4 77% 70–62 ✗
Western Illinois @ North Dakota +3.8 141.1 64% 99–87 ✗
South Carolina @ Vanderbilt -2.8 152.9 40% 81–93 ✗
Belmont @ Murray State -5.3 149.5 32% 72–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas Southern +15.0 127.4 91% 73–80 ✓
UTSA @ UTEP +6.3 156.2 72% 51–69 ✓
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +10.1 128.3 82% 53–65 ✓
Utah Tech @ California Baptist +14.0 156.8 90% 79–75 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +19.6 147.8 96% 71–98 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Bakersfield +8.4 138.1 78% 73–83 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i -1.1 133.4 46% 61–62 ✗
Notre Dame @ Pittsburgh +5.7 145.6 70% 84–58 ✗
Tulane @ Temple +8.4 127.4 78% 81–64 ✗
SMU @ Houston +11.5 139.5 85% 48–70 ✓
Michigan State @ Ohio State +12.9 146.5 88% 62–79 ✓
William & Mary @ Towson +1.2 143.4 54% 75–74 ✗
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +0.5 149.2 52% 89–83 ✗
Drexel @ James Madison +1.0 140.1 54% 64–73 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -3.2 138.0 38% 71–65 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -2.9 134.3 40% 65–69 ✗
Hartford @ Stony Brook +0.2 129.8 51% 49–63 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +5.5 125.6 69% 64–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Bucknell +6.9 144.5 73% 68–92 ✓
Elon @ Delaware +8.1 123.4 77% 70–75 ✓
Sacramento State @ Eastern Washington +8.4 149.1 78% 60–68 ✓
Siena @ Marist -3.8 123.8 37% 63–50 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State -5.5 140.1 31% 72–46 ✓
Illinois State @ Drake +24.1 145.0 99% 76–78 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ UAB +20.8 127.0 97% 52–63 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +3.1 154.1 61% 75–73 ✗
Florida A&M @ North Carolina A&T -0.9 145.7 47% 65–67 ✗
Rice @ North Texas +9.5 135.7 81% 53–79 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville -0.7 131.3 47% 52–70 ✗
Bradley @ Indiana State +1.4 131.3 55% 57–60 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +7.7 149.5 76% 85–77 ✗
Bryant @ Fairleigh Dickinson -12.0 168.3 14% 84–95 ✗
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin +3.3 153.0 62% 68–78 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -19.9 156.0 4% 78–60 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +0.8 145.9 53% 68–71 ✓
NC State @ Syracuse +6.7 153.0 73% 73–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.