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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–1 on winners
spread MAE 11.1
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC San Diego
@
UC Riverside
|
+15.6 | 130.8 | 92% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Rutgers
@
Northwestern
|
-2.1 | 141.2 | 42% | 64–56 | ✓ |
Washington State
@
Washington
|
-0.4 | 139.8 | 48% | 77–62 | ✓ |
UNLV
@
Nevada
|
+2.5 | 144.5 | 59% | 60–89 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Western Carolina
|
+3.5 | 182.2 | 62% | 75–76 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Louisville
|
+2.6 | 142.4 | 59% | 58–74 | ✓ |
Sacramento State
@
Eastern Washington
|
+8.4 | 144.8 | 78% | 79–94 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+1.1 | 145.8 | 54% | 74–59 | ✗ |
Bradley
@
Indiana State
|
+1.2 | 130.1 | 54% | 55–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.