But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–19 on winners spread MAE 9.4 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Creighton @ UConn +13.7 143.8 88% 91–84 ✗
Arkansas @ Alabama +4.3 179.3 63% 115–117 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Indiana State -5.8 136.2 25% 81–60 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -0.5 141.8 47% 72–79 ✗
American University @ Bucknell -1.8 140.2 42% 75–57 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +3.9 142.7 69% 71–65 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Fordham +8.5 133.2 82% 59–62 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +9.5 144.0 84% 61–62 ✓
Dayton @ George Mason +4.0 134.8 73% 82–67 ✗
Richmond @ Davidson +4.8 140.8 75% 63–65 ✓
Wichita State @ East Carolina -8.2 143.9 22% 92–89 ✓
UAB @ Temple -0.6 143.8 49% 76–71 ✓
Clemson @ Wake Forest -1.8 138.5 37% 77–85 ✗
Army @ Loyola Maryland +3.5 148.3 69% 87–77 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +10.8 143.2 85% 49–72 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +5.3 148.0 75% 71–87 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina +3.0 155.2 67% 77–91 ✓
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina +0.6 143.1 58% 67–65 ✗
Ole Miss @ Texas A&M +11.8 154.6 83% 77–80 ✓
Oklahoma @ Tennessee +11.6 147.1 86% 66–89 ✓
West Georgia @ Eastern Kentucky +6.0 153.5 75% 80–81 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.2 140.2 71% 84–86 ✓
Queens University @ North Alabama -5.7 154.4 33% 85–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Delaware -3.2 140.9 30% 88–87 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Drake +2.1 145.5 58% 66–61 ✗
Troy @ UL Monroe -13.0 159.4 15% 77–76 ✓
Lipscomb @ Bellarmine -3.9 156.4 34% 75–72 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston +5.5 148.6 71% 70–78 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Louisiana Tech +1.3 132.8 58% 71–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina State -0.2 135.1 48% 72–85 ✗
UIC @ Evansville -7.8 139.4 20% 84–46 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -12.0 150.5 17% 60–52 ✓
Charlotte @ Tulsa +10.5 149.2 86% 74–79 ✓
Maryland @ Northwestern +7.5 139.2 72% 74–78 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +7.7 131.1 73% 69–57 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha +9.4 149.5 85% 71–80 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State -1.0 146.3 44% 74–66 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Missouri State +0.5 152.1 59% 91–87 ✗
Utah @ West Virginia +9.6 133.5 84% 61–56 ✗
BYU @ Arizona +11.5 165.8 83% 68–75 ✓
Kansas @ Oklahoma State -4.9 151.8 27% 81–69 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia Tech -12.6 145.7 15% 94–68 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette -6.9 153.6 26% 76–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Missouri -4.8 151.7 36% 80–81 ✗
Murray State @ Illinois State +4.1 151.3 71% 61–78 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Seattle U -8.9 133.8 18% 72–70 ✓
Auburn @ Mississippi State -3.9 157.8 30% 85–91 ✗
Pacific @ Washington State +0.7 139.5 62% 70–87 ✓
Illinois @ USC -7.1 154.9 21% 101–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland +4.9 145.9 75% 95–87 ✗
Boise State @ Utah State +10.1 149.1 82% 56–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -12.4 152.0 15% 80–59 ✓
Colorado State @ UNLV +0.2 143.7 49% 91–86 ✗
Vermont @ UMBC -0.5 139.0 45% 62–75 ✗
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +3.6 145.3 72% 56–78 ✓
Binghamton @ Bryant +6.9 135.0 79% 79–67 ✗
Florida International @ Liberty +12.2 150.9 85% 89–90 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Winthrop +12.8 155.1 88% 64–68 ✓
Marshall @ App State +1.6 139.9 61% 94–93 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.