I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
West Virginia Mountaineers
56 61
FINAL Conference
Utah Utes
Big 12 Conference · Hope Coliseum · February 19, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WVU -10.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money WVU -575 / UTAH +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total WVU win
Actual UTAH +5 117 Lost
Massey WVU -9.2 (-14.2)
Massey Totals 139.4 (-22.4)
Bradley-Terry 89%
Weighted B-T 94%
Efficiency Plus ML WVU -9.6 (-14.6) 133.5 (-16.5) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML WVU -8.4 (-13.4) 130.5 (-13.5) 80%
Baseline ML WVU -8.8 (-13.8) 133.2 (-16.2) 78%
Baseline Plus ML WVU -8.5 (-13.5) 132.4 (-15.4) 81%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2025 WVU 7169 UTAH
Feb 8, 2025 WVU 7261 UTAH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WVU UTAH
Overall 21-14 10-22
Conference 9-9 2-16
Home 15-3 8-9
Away 3-6 1-10
Neutral 3-5 1-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak W3 L6
Avg Pts For 70.6 74.3
Avg Pts Against 65.7 79.1
Massey 10.2 (#57) 4.0 (#112)
Bradley-Terry 2.02 (#50) 0.42 (#127)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.71 (#48) 0.49 (#128)
RPI 0.549 (#77) 0.487 (#210)
Shooting & Four Factors WVU UTAH
FG% 44.4% 45.3%
3PT% 33.9% 35.3%
REB / G 35.2 34.6
OREB / G 10.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.16 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 52.1%
TOV% 17.1% 16.2%
ORB% 30.8% 29.4%
FT Rate 25.0% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 14.0%
DRB% 73.7% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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