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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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16–14 on winners spread MAE 10.8 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina @ Florida +17.9 149.6 90% 62–76 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State +2.3 154.4 61% 58–82 ✓
Saint Louis @ Rhode Island -9.4 148.2 22% 76–81 ✗
Louisville @ SMU -1.1 164.8 40% 85–95 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts -3.1 160.4 35% 86–77 ✓
TCU @ UCF +2.4 149.1 66% 71–82 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +1.9 150.0 59% 78–71 ✗
Ball State @ Ohio +8.2 138.4 80% 57–69 ✓
Akron @ Western Michigan -11.6 157.8 17% 90–73 ✓
George Washington @ VCU +7.5 154.2 79% 75–89 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Miami +6.2 152.9 80% 66–67 ✓
UCLA @ Michigan State +10.7 141.0 84% 59–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +2.0 160.5 52% 69–86 ✓
Fresno State @ Wyoming +5.5 144.0 76% 82–92 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UT Martin +4.4 132.8 67% 56–53 ✗
Nebraska @ Iowa +2.8 135.4 65% 52–57 ✓
Baylor @ Kansas State -2.9 157.9 34% 74–90 ✗
Air Force @ New Mexico +24.2 143.3 91% 61–98 ✓
Georgia @ Kentucky +6.0 163.8 71% 86–78 ✗
LSU @ Texas +8.2 150.3 84% 85–88 ✓
Nevada @ San José State -11.0 140.7 19% 71–87 ✗
Grand Canyon @ San Diego State +6.9 140.3 79% 73–63 ✗
Minnesota @ Oregon +2.3 132.3 69% 61–44 ✗
Texas Tech @ Arizona State -6.2 150.3 19% 67–72 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +4.9 147.3 71% 85–72 ✗
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +2.3 133.6 59% 86–83 ✗
VMI @ Wofford +14.1 151.2 87% 76–82 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown +1.7 147.7 61% 93–89 ✗
Cleveland State @ Youngstown State +8.4 153.3 82% 82–106 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Furman +0.6 141.0 53% 78–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.