Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +145 M-OH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +9 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -5.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -3.1 (-5.9) | 160.4 (+2.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -5.7 (-3.3) | 160.8 (+2.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -4.7 (-4.3) | 160.2 (+2.8) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -7.2 (-1.8) | 160.6 (+2.4) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MASS 87 – 83 M-OH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | M-OH 86 – 84 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 18-0 |
| Home | 11-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 2-8 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#174) | 7.7 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#172) | 3.94 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#178) | 4.87 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.600 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 60.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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