Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -675 LSU +490 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -8.5 (-5.5) | 151.4 (+21.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -8.2 (-5.2) | 150.3 (+22.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -9.4 (-6.4) | 154.4 (+18.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -8.0 (-5.0) | 152.9 (+20.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | TEX 89 – 58 LSU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | TEX 96 – 85 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.7 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#35) | 10.8 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#43) | 1.23 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#33) | 1.82 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#67) | 0.530 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 35.4% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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