Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LSU +105 TEX -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +31 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -0.4 (-30.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -0.9 (-31.9) | 143.6 (+3.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -1.0 (-32.0) | 143.9 (+3.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -0.3 (-31.3) | 143.4 (+3.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -0.8 (-31.8) | 142.7 (+4.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | TEX 88 – 85 LSU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | TEX 96 – 85 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#56) | 14.4 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#57) | 2.45 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#57) | 3.01 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#94) | 0.556 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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