Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORE -180 MINN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +17 | 105 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -1.9 (-18.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.3 (-19.3) | 132.3 (-27.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -2.1 (-19.1) | 134.1 (-29.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.4 (-18.4) | 135.1 (-30.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.1 (-18.1) | 135.2 (-30.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2025 | MINN 77 – 69 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-7 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#94) | 7.1 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#108) | 0.83 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#98) | 1.16 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.498 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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