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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–14 on winners spread MAE 8.1 48 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Memphis @ South Florida	+5.2	158.3	74%	66–87	✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point	+13.2	147.6	88%	48–74	✓
Longwood @ Presbyterian	+2.1	139.2	57%	65–72	✓
Gardner-Webb @ Radford	+14.8	157.9	89%	70–82	✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State	+11.9	159.9	86%	73–85	✓
Wagner @ Mercyhurst	+5.0	134.4	72%	83–80	✗
Stonehill @ New Haven	+2.5	125.4	67%	51–64	✓
Long Island University @ Saint Francis	-10.0	142.7	17%	91–89	✓
Le Moyne @ Central Connecticut	+3.9	139.1	69%	77–78	✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Chicago State	-0.3	133.8	41%	60–59	✓
UAlbany @ NJIT	+3.3	142.4	65%	81–63	✗
Monmouth @ UNC Wilmington	+9.7	140.6	83%	69–79	✓
Drexel @ Northeastern	-0.8	139.8	49%	70–61	✓
William & Mary @ Campbell	-0.9	160.5	58%	83–84	✗
Charleston @ North Carolina A&T	-4.1	145.7	43%	74–61	✓
Samford @ The Citadel	-8.4	145.1	20%	78–75	✓
Chattanooga @ Mercer	+9.7	147.8	85%	94–90	✗
Austin Peay @ North Florida	-9.6	156.6	20%	77–76	✓
Alabama State @ Bethune-Cookman	+3.9	146.1	61%	71–82	✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota	+8.5	148.2	84%	70–85	✓
Hampton @ Hofstra	+9.7	134.0	85%	43–79	✓
Texas State @ South Alabama	+5.0	142.0	66%	90–82	✗
Arkansas State @ Louisiana	-8.1	141.3	20%	79–62	✓
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State	+0.7	150.4	53%	64–66	✓
Central Arkansas @ Stetson	-7.7	150.0	24%	88–76	✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley	+5.9	140.2	70%	46–65	✓
Utah Tech @ UT Arlington	+3.4	141.3	66%	50–63	✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State	+6.9	145.7	80%	74–78	✓
UT Martin @ Little Rock	-4.4	130.5	36%	65–67	✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Illinois	-3.2	136.7	37%	77–70	✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee State	+3.4	155.8	72%	80–89	✓
Morehead State @ Eastern Illinois	-0.5	135.2	38%	73–70	✓
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State	-9.5	150.5	18%	72–62	✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee Tech	-2.8	134.0	41%	52–62	✗
Texas Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff	+2.3	150.6	59%	83–64	✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara	+5.5	154.1	64%	85–83	✗
South Dakota @ Denver	+4.7	157.1	67%	70–90	✓
Montana State @ Weber State	-0.1	145.3	55%	79–82	✗
Montana @ Idaho State	-0.4	143.0	55%	69–73	✗
Idaho @ Portland State	+4.6	145.9	70%	67–77	✓
Tulane @ North Texas	+6.5	136.7	76%	77–71	✗
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M	+0.4	136.9	57%	63–61	✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Riverside	+4.7	146.2	77%	65–93	✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton	+0.3	153.2	50%	92–93	✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State	-6.0	145.5	26%	69–58	✓
Eastern Washington @ Sacramento State	-0.4	161.0	55%	102–94	✓
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i	+9.7	159.2	85%	86–75	✗
Akron @ Ball State	-14.4	143.7	14%	78–65	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.