Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | CHST +110 FDU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -0.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -0.3 (-0.7) | 133.8 (-14.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.4 (-0.6) | 135.2 (-16.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.4 (-0.6) | 133.7 (-14.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -0.6 (-0.4) | 134.9 (-15.9) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FDU 70 – 63 CHST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | FDU 91 – 49 CHST |
| Jan 21, 2025 | FDU 58 – 48 CHST |
| Jan 11, 2024 | CHST 75 – 74 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-19 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -13.8 (#344) | -11.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#350) | -2.32 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.40 (#351) | -2.85 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#340) | 0.407 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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