Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | TAR -225 SUU +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -9.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -6.5 (-2.5) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -6.9 (-2.9) | 145.7 (+6.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -7.2 (-3.2) | 143.7 (+8.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -6.6 (-2.6) | 144.2 (+7.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | TAR 62 – 59 SUU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SUU 106 – 105 TAR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TAR 75 – 58 SUU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | TAR 74 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | TAR 88 – 83 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#208) | -8.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#186) | -0.81 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#168) | -0.98 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#236) | 0.451 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.