Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SUU -290 TAR +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -11.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -8.7 (-16.7) | 135.6 (+4.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.8 (-14.8) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -7.4 (-15.4) | 133.1 (+6.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -8.1 (-16.1) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | TAR 78 – 74 SUU |
| Feb 8, 2026 | TAR 62 – 59 SUU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | SUU 106 – 105 TAR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TAR 75 – 58 SUU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | TAR 88 – 83 SUU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#222) | -10.6 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#217) | -1.04 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#206) | -1.89 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#197) | 0.464 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 27.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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