Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | CAM +114 W&M -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +1 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -2.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.9 (+1.9) | 160.5 (+6.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -0.9 (+1.9) | 159.4 (+7.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.5 (+2.5) | 158.6 (+8.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.3 (+2.3) | 159.3 (+7.7) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | CAM 104 – 96 W&M |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CAM 96 – 55 W&M |
| Jan 19, 2024 | CAM 77 – 64 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#209) | 3.1 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#191) | 0.30 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#193) | 0.43 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#191) | 0.532 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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