Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BALL +800 AKR -1350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +13 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -16.6 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -14.5 (+1.5) | 141.4 (+1.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -14.4 (+1.4) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -14.1 (+1.1) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -14.4 (+1.4) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | AKR 87 – 77 BALL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | AKR 87 – 82 BALL |
| Feb 5, 2025 | AKR 81 – 73 BALL |
| Jan 10, 2024 | AKR 80 – 76 BALL |
| Mar 1, 2023 | AKR 87 – 83 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 17-1 |
| Home | 7-7 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#311) | 9.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#325) | 1.60 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.44 (#327) | 1.75 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#337) | 0.591 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 49.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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