Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -900 BALL +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +8 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -14.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -13.3 (-5.3) | 155.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -14.8 (-6.8) | 157.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -14.2 (-6.2) | 154.1 (-0.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -13.2 (-5.2) | 155.0 (-1.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | AKR 78 – 65 BALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | AKR 87 – 77 BALL |
| Feb 26, 2025 | AKR 87 – 82 BALL |
| Jan 10, 2024 | AKR 80 – 76 BALL |
| Mar 1, 2023 | AKR 87 – 83 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#96) | -6.2 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#86) | -1.33 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#92) | -1.78 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#59) | 0.419 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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