Betting Lines
| Spread | MOST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | MOST -125 KENN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MOST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +4 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | MOST -0.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MOST -0.5 (-4.5) | 152.1 (+25.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MOST -1.6 (-5.6) | 148.6 (+29.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MOST -0.5 (-4.5) | 150.2 (+27.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MOST -1.2 (-5.2) | 153.3 (+24.7) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | KENN 90 – 80 MOST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MOST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#213) | -0.6 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#222) | -0.39 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#203) | -0.40 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#219) | 0.478 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MOST | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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